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July 2025 CPI Inflation Report: Cooling Prices Spark Hope for Fed Pause

July 2025 CPI Inflation Report: Cooling Prices Spark Hope for Fed Pause

July’s CPI data shows inflation easing to a two-year low, hinting at relief for wallets and the Fed.

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By John MarcAugust 12, 2025

July CPI Inflation Report: Inflation Shows Signs of Cooling

The CPI inflation report released today reveals that U.S. inflation is continuing to ease, though some categories remain stubbornly high. This month’s CPI data release offers fresh insights into the CPI inflation rate and how it may influence upcoming Federal Reserve decisions.

CPI Data Release Today: Key Numbers

The July CPI report shows:

  • Headline CPI: Up 0.2% month-over-month, 3.2% year over year
  • Core CPI: Up 0.3% month-over-month, 3.4% year over year

This inflation data marks the lowest annual headline rate in over two years, largely due to falling energy prices and slower housing cost growth.

Core CPI: The Underlying Trend

The core CPI excluding volatile food and energy remains a crucial metric for policymakers. July’s CPI numbers suggest that while headline inflation is cooling, core prices are easing more gradually, signaling that full relief for consumers may take time to kick in.

Market and Policy Reactions

  • Federal Reserve Impact: The CPI news may support a pause in rate hikes.
  • Market Response: Stocks rose after the CPI release, as investors welcomed signs of progress.
  • Looking Ahead: Future inflation reports will be closely watched to confirm this downward trend.

Conclusion:
Today’s CPI report delivers cautious optimism. While the consumer price index shows inflation cooling, persistent cost pressures in areas like food and healthcare mean the fight isn’t over. The next CPI data release will determine if this trend holds into the fall.

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